Pollution Predictions & Odds· 154 markets

O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

82%

December 31, 2027

$270k Vol.
$30k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

68%

December 31, 2027

$67k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$304k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$540 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

6%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$530 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

91%

ND

$19k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

73%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$565 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$310 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$847k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$696 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

62%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

37%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

33%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$571k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

24%

December 31, 2028

$393k Vol.
$70k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↑ 2.20

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months