Politcs Predictions & Odds· 193 markets

J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

32%

December 31

$881 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

59%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1280.6m Vol.
$76.5m Liq.
🔥$437k today
825
Ends in about 2 years
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

50%

No change

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$883k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$82k Vol.
$498k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

69%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
S
Swiss National Bank decision in September?

100%

No Change

$16k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Serie A: Most Assists 2026-27

Soccer · Sports

Serie A: Most Assists 2026-27

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
D
Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

12%

Phil Murphy

$97k Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

48%

<2.75%

$408 Vol.
$383 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$349k Vol.
$570k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

33%

6.5-7.5%

$765 Vol.
$299 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

41%

7-8%

$351 Vol.
$264 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?

99%

5-7%

$59k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ended
W
Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

65%

President

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$89k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months