Pm Predictions & Odds· 53101 markets

E
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

7%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$20k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$353k Vol.
$13k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months
R
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

85%

December 31

$849k Vol.
$30k Liq.
335
Ends in 3 months
N
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

14%

April 17, 2027

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

19%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$433 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
P
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Politics · Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

15%

Yes

$576k Vol.
$15k Liq.
76
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump meets with Danish PM by...?

Trump meets with Danish PM by...?

84%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump meets with Greenland PM by...?

Trump meets with Greenland PM by...?

74%

December 31

$788 Vol.
$959 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Romania PM appointed by…?

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

90%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

28%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

28%

54.0 to 54.9

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

98%

-No Qualifying Event-

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

UK · Labour

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

87%

2

$142k Vol.
$153k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

52%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.2m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$110k today
702
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

28%

Sorin Grindeanu

$3.8m Vol.
$976k Liq.
495
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

54%

Aleksandar Vučić

$361k Vol.
$243k Liq.
🔥$130k today
20
Ends in almost 2 years