Pm Predictions & Odds· 5339 markets

R
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

86%

December 31

$849k Vol.
$21k Liq.
335
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$353k Vol.
$13k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months
E
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

7%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$18k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
N
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

13%

April 17, 2027

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (September 14 - September 19)

65%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8 Liq.
Ends in 35 minutes
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

20%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$489 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
P
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Politics · Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

15%

Yes

$576k Vol.
$15k Liq.
76
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump meets with Danish PM by...?

Trump meets with Danish PM by...?

88%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump meets with Greenland PM by...?

Trump meets with Greenland PM by...?

73%

December 31

$322 Vol.
$304 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Romania PM appointed by…?

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

90%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

28%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

30%

54.0 to 54.9

$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

98%

-No Qualifying Event-

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

UK · Labour

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

86%

2

$141k Vol.
$71k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
P
Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

39%

Independent/Technocrat

$244k Vol.
$61k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Prime Minister of Greece?

Next Prime Minister of Greece?

76%

Kyriakos Mitsotakis

$27k Vol.
$117k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

51%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.0m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
698
Ends in 3 months