Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

68%

December 31

$882k Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$80k today
45
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$68k today
212
Ends in 6 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$36k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$11k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

78%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

27%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$909 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$60k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$79k today
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$48k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

17%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$256k Liq.
35
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 days
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

Yes

$438k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

20%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

13%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

78%

October 31

$394 Vol.
$742 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month