Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$82k today
213
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$900k Vol.
$121k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$530k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$12k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

85%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$213k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

27%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$189 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$61k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
225
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$252k Liq.
35
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

Yes

$439k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

18%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

12%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

8%

Lebanon

$1.7m Vol.
$161k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

77%

October 31

$486 Vol.
$633 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month