Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$353k today
210
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$805k Vol.
$108k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

4%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$14k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$32k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

78%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$249k Liq.
🔥$106k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$7k Vol.
$760 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$62k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

73%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$85k today
216
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

30%

October 31

$46k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

16%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$250k Liq.
35
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

14%

Yes

$437k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

18%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

80%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$455 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month