Peace Deals Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$12k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

November 30, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
225
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$900k Vol.
$120k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

8%

Lebanon

$1.7m Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$261k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$54k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$530k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

12%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

7%

Yes

$825k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$269k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

3%

Yes

$151k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Yes

$309k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month