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Payments Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

AllSportsPoliticsCryptoIranRussiaBusinessFinanceTrumpTwitterAirdropsElectionsVenezuelaStrait Of HormuzElon MuskOilCongressTeslaUS ElectionDOGENew York CityXPoker WarningGeopoliticsEuro 2024PokerEconomyTrump PresidencyColombiaMetaTrade WarMidtermsUS IranMegaETHPre MarketH 1BZohran MamdaniGustavo PetroCubaVisaIran CeasefireU.S. X IranEmbargoTollKPIsVCompute
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
M
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

Politics·New York City

Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

11%

Yes

$181 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

Politics·Iran

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$28k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$86k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Politics·Congress

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

94%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$407k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ended
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

Geopolitics·Cuba

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Politics·Trump

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

63%

1-100

$294k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?

All

Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?

All

Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
V
Visa (V) Q3 payments volume growth (constant dollars)?

Finance·V

Visa (V) Q3 payments volume growth (constant dollars)?

9.5%-10.5%

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?

Politics·Trump

Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?

No

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
W
Will courts block DOGE access to Treasury payments before March?

Politics·DOGE

Will courts block DOGE access to Treasury payments before March?

Yes

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
W
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures be above __?

Finance·KPIs

Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures be above __?

$30B

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?

Elon Musk · Tesla

Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?

Yes

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
E
Euro Finals: Who will score?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: Who will score?

Harry Kane

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates March 2023

All

Fed Interest Rates March 2023

25 bps increase after March meeting?

$455k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

$573k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
A
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Poker warning · Sports

Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Yes

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

90-104

$491k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

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