Palestinian Authority Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

12%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

11%

Japan

$760k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

36%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

6%

Yes

$91k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

18%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$29k Liq.
369
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

7%

Yes

$219k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$281k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

61%

Yashar

$314k Vol.
$117k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$16k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Nuclear

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

1%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

7%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$107k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

9%

Yes

$759k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ended
U
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

22%

Yes

$675 Vol.
$899 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months