Palestinian Authority Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

14%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

11%

Greece

$760k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

41%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

6%

Yes

$91k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

21%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$36k Liq.
369
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

1%

Yes

$235k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$139k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

63%

Yashar

$322k Vol.
$146k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

20%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$11k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

91%

Nuclear

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

7%

Yes

$186k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$105k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

9%

Yes

$759k Vol.
$16k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

22%

Yes

$675 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

18%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months