Outage Predictions & Odds· 4085 markets

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

34%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$113 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

31%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$803 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

71%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

48%

1-3 hours

$22k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

7%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 24?

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$20 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

28%

Up

$3k Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ended
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 Vol.
$102 Liq.
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 24?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 24?

53%

Up

$0 Vol.
$494 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24?

46%

Up

$31 Vol.
$474 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 24?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 24?

55%

Up

$0 Vol.
$483 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

86%

December 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 23?

100%

Up

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24?

51%

Up

$391 Vol.
$703 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 24?

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 24?

47%

Up

$0 Vol.
$258 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours