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Outage Predictions & Odds· 4043 markets

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$115 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$132 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$415 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

63%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$619 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

71%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$40 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Tech·Coding

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

28%

1-3 hours

$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

7%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$503 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

27%

Up

$3k Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·HOOD

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 23?

47%

Up

$21 Vol.
$450 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 Vol.
$101 Liq.
Ended
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Meta

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 23?

65%

Up

$635 Vol.
$630 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$94 Vol.
$396 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 23?

55%

Up

$20 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

Finance·AI

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

85%

December 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?

55%

Up

$1k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
S
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Commodities

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 23?

36%

Up

$39 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
O
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·OPEN

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 23?

53%

Up

$0 Vol.
$333 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours

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