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Outage Predictions & Odds· 4043 markets

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

Tech·AI

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

55%

2

$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$103 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Outage by....?

88%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

Tech·AI

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

49%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$340 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Tech·hack

Critical Discord Incident by...?

63%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$690 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
GitHub.com critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub.com critical incident by...?

72%

October 31

$0 Vol.
$76 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·forex

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
L
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

Tech·Coding

Longest GitHub critical incident in September?

28%

1-3 hours

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
G
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

Tech·Coding

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

7%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$568 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SPY Opens Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

SPY Opens Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$12 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

28%

Up

$3k Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ended
R
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·HOOD

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 23?

45%

Up

$21 Vol.
$493 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

26%

Up

$247 Vol.
$102 Liq.
Ended
M
Meta (META) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Meta

Meta (META) Up or Down on September 23?

64%

Up

$635 Vol.
$986 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 23?

51%

Up

$0 Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 23?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
N
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

Finance·AI

NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by ___?

85%

December 31, 2026

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 22?

Finance·Commodities

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 22?

100%

Up

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended
S
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Equities

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?

56%

Up

$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
S
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 23?

Finance·Commodities

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 23?

59%

Up

$18 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours

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