Out Predictions & Odds· 1634 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$2.4m Vol.
$248k Liq.
🔥$263k today
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

12%

June 30, 2027

$25.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$183k today
1
Ends in 9 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.8m Vol.
$473k Liq.
🔥$90k today
709
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$470k Vol.
$714k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$345k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

0%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$220k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$82k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
89
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

17%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$25k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
S
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

6%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

8%

Yes

$284k Vol.
$76k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
J
John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

2%

December 31

$86k Vol.
$75k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

82%

December 31

$851k Vol.
$30k Liq.
335
Ends in 3 months
N
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

16%

Yes

$92k Vol.
$14k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
K
Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

19%

December 31

$1.7m Vol.
$27k Liq.
143
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24%

Yes

$446k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

22%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$812 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Politics · Geopolitics

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

17%

Yes

$577k Vol.
$14k Liq.
76
Ended
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month