Operative Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

8%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

43%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$788 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

32%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$109 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$602 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$283k Liq.
35
Ended
T
Tucker Carlson confirmed CIA operative by December 31?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
E
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

No

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
E
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?

No

$205k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
B
British Open Winner

Sports · Golf

British Open Winner

Xander Schauffele

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
K
Kentucky Derby Winner

racing · horse racing

Kentucky Derby Winner

Mystik Dan

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
G
Golf Winner (W)

2026 Winter Games · Sports

Golf Winner (W)

Other

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NFL MVP

All · Sports

NFL MVP

Brock Purdy

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

All

'Oppenheimer' opening weekend

>$50 million

$202k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'Argylle' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$20m

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Euro Finals: Who will score?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: Who will score?

Harry Kane

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
'
'Mission: Impossible' opening weekend

>$100 million 5-day weekend?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
World Series Outcome

World Series · MLB

World Series Outcome

Dodgers win 4-1

$96k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
D
Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

Global Elections · elections 2024

Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

Luis Abinader

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended