Open AI Predictions & Odds· 160 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$962 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

51%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$84 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

33%

Diamant Esports

$5 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

55%

aimclub

$44 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$24k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

3%

Yes

$312k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

65%

1.5T+

$336k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

44%

$100B+

$8k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

gpt · OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

71%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$731 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$50k Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month