Natural Disasters Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$297 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

44%

14–16

$1.5m Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$509 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Yes

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

19+

$129k Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ended
'
'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

>$61m

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

September 10

$152k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

>14

$220k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
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M
Megaquake in September?

Megaquake in September?

No

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

climate · climate & weather

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

16-20

$5.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
M
Megaquake by September 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
M
Megaquake by August 31?

No

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended