Nate Silver Predictions & Odds· 278 markets

R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

43%

September 30

$1k Vol.
$173 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

47%

Up

$287 Vol.
$203 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

30%

38.0–38.4

$421 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

26%

35%

$144k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

11%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
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M15 Columbia, SC: Joshua Peck vs Jonah Braswell

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Joshua Peck vs Jonah Braswell

50%

Joshua Peck

$0 Vol.
$363 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
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San Diego 2: Andrew Fenty vs Erik Arutiunian

Tennis · Sports

San Diego 2: Andrew Fenty vs Erik Arutiunian

50%

Andrew Fenty

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
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M15 Columbia, SC: Gabor Hornung vs Nathan Cox

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Gabor Hornung vs Nathan Cox

51%

Gabor Hornung

$0 Vol.
$270 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
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M15 Columbia, SC: Nikolas Stoot vs Atakan Karahan

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Nikolas Stoot vs Atakan Karahan

51%

Nikolas Stoot

$0 Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Yes

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,835
Ended
W
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Alaska

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ended
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Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

No

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
650
Ended
W
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

$41k Vol.
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W
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

No

$264k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
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W
Who will win white women?

Trump

$596k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
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W
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
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Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?

Harris

$478k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
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How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

48

$10k Vol.
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6
Ended