Nate Silver Predictions & Odds· 278 markets

R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

45%

September 30

$1k Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

47%

Up

$287 Vol.
$161 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

42%

38.5–38.9

$50 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

26%

35%

$144k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

12%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
D
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

51%

Zero Tenacity

$56k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ended
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LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C

Esports · league of legends

LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C

61%

SU Esports

$7 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
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LoL: Onetricks vs The Secret Man (BO3) - FLASH Oceania Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Onetricks vs The Secret Man (BO3) - FLASH Oceania Playoffs

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
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LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

41%

Solary

$287 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
D
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

50%

Dawn Bulls

$59k Vol.
$77k Liq.
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LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A

17%

Fuego

$108 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Yes

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,835
Ended
W
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Alaska

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ended
R
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

No

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
650
Ended
W
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

$41k Vol.
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W
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

No

$264k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
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W
Who will win white women?

Trump

$596k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
W
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event?

No

$7k Vol.
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Ended