Nate Silver Predictions & Odds· 278 markets

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Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

27%

September 30

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$122 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

5%

Up

$880 Vol.
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Ends in 2 days
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Trump approval rating on September 25?

51%

<37.5

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How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

72%

37%

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$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

7%

↑ 47%

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Ends in 3 months
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M15 Columbia, SC: Antonin Witz vs Cosme Rolland de Ravel

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Antonin Witz vs Cosme Rolland de Ravel

14%

Antonin Witz

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
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M25 Setubal: Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Alec Deckers vs Jake Fellows

81%

Alec Deckers

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Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Yes

$9.9m Vol.
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1,835
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Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Alaska

$1.4m Vol.
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521
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Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

No

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650
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Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

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Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

No

$264k Vol.
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20
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Who will win white women?

Trump

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67
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Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event?

No

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Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?

Harris

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36
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How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

48

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6
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Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

Yes

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20
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