Millennium Prize Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

$322k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$293k Vol.
$30k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

56%

0

$160k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

53%

Hodge Conjecture

$187k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

28%

December 31, 2028

$399k Vol.
$81k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

60%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

76%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$774 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

36%

December 31, 2028

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

14%

December 31, 2027

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$536 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$81k today
213
Ends in 6 months
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

16%

December 31, 2026

$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Prize in Literature

Other

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
W
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

María Corina Machado

$21.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
763
Ended
W
Who will win the 2022 Fields Medal?
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Sports · 2026 Winter Games

100m Butterfly Winner (M)

Kristof Milak (HUN)

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang

$879k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended