Macro Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 207 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

5%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.4m Vol.
$51.8m Liq.
🔥$624k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.5m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$320k today
1,036
Ends in over 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

76%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$976k Vol.
$185k Liq.
🔥$106k today
Ends in 9 months
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

59%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.4m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$85k today
450
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$554k Vol.
$729k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

92%

Nene Royal

$53k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$170k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$835k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

76%

Mark Carney

$149k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$289k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

87%

Olivia Chow

$177k Vol.
$133k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

WSOP · Poker

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

50%

A

$49k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

80%

JD Vance

$2k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

65%

Hana Ghassan

$52k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$55k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

53%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$249k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$66k Vol.
$534k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months