Macro Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 201 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.3m Liq.
🔥$481k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$206k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$105k today
463
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

81%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$223k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$577k Vol.
$633k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m Vol.
$853k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$76k Vol.
$560k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

55%

Javier Milei

$699k Vol.
$251k Liq.
61
Ends in about 2 years
P
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

64%

Hana Ghassan

$55k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

58%

Javier Milei

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

95%

Jon Ossoff

$153k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

30%

Other

$44k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

97%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$174k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

UCL · Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

50%

Player H

$3k Vol.
$567k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

36%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

87%

Andy Beshear

$88k Vol.
$357k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

$74k Vol.
$231k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month