Macro Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 201 markets

W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

6%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.5m Vol.
$60.3m Liq.
🔥$383k today
1,036
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.5m Liq.
🔥$70k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

40%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$1.1m Vol.
$210k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

60%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
465
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$586k Vol.
$570k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

56%

Javier Milei

$704k Vol.
$211k Liq.
61
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

17%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1.2m Vol.
$840k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$79k Vol.
$579k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Olivia Chow

$189k Vol.
$290k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

69%

Friedrich Merz

$549k Vol.
$61k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$57k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

44%

Ursula von der Leyen

$197k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

33%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

UCL · Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Most Assists 2026-27

50%

Player H

$6k Vol.
$71k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$48k Vol.
$921k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

95%

Jon Ossoff

$154k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

42%

Other

$47k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

58%

Bryson DeChambeau

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days