Macro Jobs Predictions & Odds· 152 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

5%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.7m Vol.
$60.0m Liq.
🔥$288k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

59%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.6m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$157k today
456
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.5m Vol.
$51.6m Liq.
🔥$80k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
A
America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

50%

Act B

$47k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

75%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$991k Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$563k Vol.
$685k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

96%

Nene Royal

$63k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

88%

Olivia Chow

$187k Vol.
$323k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

50%

Ali Khamenei

$72k Vol.
$558k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

95%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

56%

Javier Milei

$697k Vol.
$186k Liq.
61
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$173k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

93%

Mark Carney

$151k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$403k Vol.
$297k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$723k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

66%

Bryson DeChambeau

$55k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

39%

Other

$43k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

92%

Andy Beshear

$88k Vol.
$355k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year