Macro Indicators Predictions & Odds· 157 markets

A
AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

Sports · Games

AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

73%

AD Marco 09

$21 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
F
FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

Sports · Games

FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

44%

FC Alpendorada

$0 Vol.
$436 Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$19k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
$60.2m Liq.
🔥$519k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

83%

Nicolás Maduro

$96.2m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$103k today
385
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$705.7m Vol.
$52.6m Liq.
440
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$349k Vol.
$600k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

34%

Steve Witkoff

$745k Vol.
$336k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

97%

Xi Jinping

$150k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

78%

Nene Royal

$28k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

82%

Mark Carney

$135k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

36%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$544k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$82k Vol.
$499k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
P
PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

Sports · Golf

PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

31%

Neal Shipley

$16k Vol.
$258k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Olivia Chow

$161k Vol.
$189k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

25%

Gonzalo

$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
A
Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

54%

Javier Milei

$693k Vol.
$176k Liq.
58
Ends in about 1 year
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

47%

Friedrich Merz

$545k Vol.
$41k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$749k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months