Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

3%

Marco Dessi

$16 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.1m Vol.
$59.6m Liq.
🔥$826k today
1,034
Ends in about 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.8m Vol.
$52.2m Liq.
🔥$221k today
440
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.3m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$185k today
451
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

40%

Jared Kushner

$858k Vol.
$305k Liq.
🔥$90k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$470k Vol.
$669k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 3 months
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

66%

Lionel Messi

$951k Vol.
$72k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

81%

Nene Royal

$40k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$64k Vol.
$610k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$161k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

33%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Olivia Chow

$175k Vol.
$153k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

85%

Mark Carney

$140k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

56%

None before 2027

$71k Vol.
$267k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$85k Vol.
$399k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$11k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$736k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months