Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 209 markets

A
AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

Sports · Games

AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

72%

AD Marco 09

$163 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Rocco vs Marco Dessi

50%

Lorenzo Rocco

$0 Vol.
$76 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

100%

Marco Dessi

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

Sports · Games

FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

50%

FC Alpendorada

$0 Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$880k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

50%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$871k today
418
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$109k today
1,032
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$362k Vol.
$623k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$759k Vol.
$328k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Olivia Chow

$171k Vol.
$329k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

59%

Lionel Messi

$940k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
P
PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

Sports · Golf

PGA Tour: Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner

43%

Neal Shipley

$20k Vol.
$442k Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

94%

Xi Jinping

$153k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$292k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$779k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

31%

Pete Hegseth

$1.4m Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

WSOP · Poker

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

50%

A

$45k Vol.
$42k Liq.
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

78%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days