Macro Fed Predictions & Odds· 207 markets

A
AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

Sports · Games

AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador

72%

AD Marco 09

$163 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Cosimo Banti

100%

Marco Dessi

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

Sports · Games

FC Alpendorada vs. AD Mação

44%

FC Alpendorada

$0 Vol.
$161 Liq.
Ends in about 1 hour
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.5m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$836k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

51%

Delcy Rodríguez

$97.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$855k today
413
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.3m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$109k today
1,032
Ends in about 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$362k Vol.
$591k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$759k Vol.
$318k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Olivia Chow

$171k Vol.
$313k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

59%

Lionel Messi

$940k Vol.
$45k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

94%

Xi Jinping

$153k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

95%

Delcy Rodríguez

$393k Vol.
$286k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$775k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

31%

Pete Hegseth

$1.4m Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

WSOP · Poker

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

50%

A

$45k Vol.
$37k Liq.
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

79%

Mark Carney

$136k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

83%

Nene Royal

$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MotoGP World Champion (2026)

MotoGP · Sports

MotoGP World Champion (2026)

67%

Marc Marquez

$13k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months