Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

75%

Liberal–National

$14k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

75%

Labor

$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

54%

One Nation

$21k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

79%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$91k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$104k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

32%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

37%

4.1%

$8k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$382 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

7%

5.5%

$514k Vol.
$10k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

33%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 26 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$7k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

27%

50k to 100k

$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

72%

0.3%

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

34%

0.6%

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

45%

3.6%

$36k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$744 Liq.
Ends in 3 days