Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

51%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

59%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

78%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$76k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$104k Vol.
$115k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$468 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$11k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

41%

50k to 100k

$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$338 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

69%

0.3%

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

40%

0.6%

$30k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

45%

3.6%

$54k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$328k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

89%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours