Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

61%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

51%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

78%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$77k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$104k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

21%

7.1M to 7.2M

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$15k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$10k Liq.
21
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$947k Vol.
$139k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$383 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
#
# of views of MrBeast video on day 3?

# of views of MrBeast video on day 3?

69%

50–52M

$25k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

93%

$760

$383 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

59%

200+

$15k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

59%

200+

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

25%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$735 Liq.
Ends in 3 months