Jewish History Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

42%

AI-chip export licensing

$170k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$1.1m Vol.
$267k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Yashar

$415k Vol.
$331k Liq.
13
Ends in 30 days
M
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

Sports · Games

MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 - More Markets

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

45%

6-7

$8k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

44%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$500 Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

56%

7-8%

$554 Vol.
$486 Liq.
Ends in 30 days
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Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%

Yes

$100k Vol.
$431 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

45%

6-7

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

24%

<8

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$9k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

38%

8-9

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

32%

5.5-6.5%

$1k Vol.
$504 Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

38%

20-24

$214k Vol.
$143k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?

69%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

46%

6%+

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$31.7m Vol.
$328k Liq.
🔥$66k today
300
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

4%

Yes

$449 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

49%

4-6

$6k Vol.
$27k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days