Iran Offensive Actions Predictions & Odds· 170 markets

W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$573k today
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.2m Vol.
$520k Liq.
🔥$340k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$349k Liq.
🔥$169k today
293
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

14%

December 31

$18.0m Vol.
$392k Liq.
🔥$161k today
157
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

71%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$977k Vol.
$214k Liq.
🔥$107k today
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$51k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$46k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$87k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$677k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

24%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$74k Liq.
1,016
Ends in 4 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$11k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

31%

October 31

$369k Vol.
$32k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 days
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$6k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

11%

Yes

$578k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$106k Liq.
432
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

34%

October 31

$51k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month