Iran Offensive Actions Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 25

$2.8m Vol.
$474k Liq.
🔥$352k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.8m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$217k today
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$31.6m Vol.
$327k Liq.
🔥$156k today
299
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

13%

December 31

$18.2m Vol.
$453k Liq.
🔥$65k today
157
Ended
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$53k Liq.
🔥$50k today
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

8%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$33k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.1m Vol.
$686k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

26%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$89k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$46k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

85%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m Vol.
$275k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

30%

No Meeting by December 31

$28k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

8%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$151k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

4%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$118k Liq.
432
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

22%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$58k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

12%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

28%

October 31

$373k Vol.
$26k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 days
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%

Yes

$265k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 3 months