Internet Policy Predictions & Odds· 209 markets

C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

79%

No change

$64k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

74%

No change

$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

56%

200+

$831 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

99%

200+

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

82%

No change

$135k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$310 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

18%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$45k Liq.
369
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$14k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

92%

No change

$22k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

100%

No change

$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

54%

No Change

$105k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

49%

25 bps increase

$18k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

65%

25 bps increase

$116k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

62%

25 bps increase

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months