Internet Policy Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

49%

No change

$52k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

53%

2

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

60%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$101 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

5%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

56%

Inner Circle Prospect

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

43%

200+

$262 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

57%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

40%

180-199

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
E
European T20 Premier League: Edinburgh Castle Rockers vs Belfast Wolves

56%

Edinburgh Castle Rockers

$642 Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

38%

STATE

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
C
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen

50%

Antigua And Barbuda Falcons

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

54%

NIP

$2 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

82%

No change

$127k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C
$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

7%

Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

$63k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 11 days