Internet Policy Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

54%

No change

$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

54%

2

$10k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

45%

October 31

$74k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

17%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
ChatGPT Outage by....?

ChatGPT Outage by....?

95%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$125 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

94%

<5

$388 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

96%

<5

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

180-199

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

<5

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

38%

180-199

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
🔥$233k today
Ended
C
Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmen

52%

Antigua And Barbuda Falcons

$558 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

84%

No change

$128k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

55%

NIP

$2 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days