Imf Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

67%

25-29

$46k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
2
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

29%

3.1%

$40k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

60%

0-5

$47k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

16%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

55%

<170

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended
M
M15 Curitiba: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Luiz Felipe Silva

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Luiz Felipe Silva

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

42%

10+

$35k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

45%

20-24

$69k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$506k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

10%

Yes

$802k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

26%

October 31

$843k Vol.
$11k Liq.
49
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$281k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

16%

Yes

$399k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$307k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$735 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

24%

Yes

$12.2m Vol.
$292k Liq.
🔥$198k today
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Monastir: Mohamed Ali Abibsi vs CHARLES CHEN

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Mohamed Ali Abibsi vs CHARLES CHEN

35%

Mohamed Ali Abibsi

$163 Vol.
$287 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$101k Vol.
$161k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Nicola Senn vs Maurice-Noel Kaserer

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Nicola Senn vs Maurice-Noel Kaserer

100%

Nicola Senn

$3k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months