Identity Verification Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

S
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
E
Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

Sports · Esports

Esports Awards: Mobile Game of the Year

52%

PUBG Mobile

$38k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

46%

December 31, 2027

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

35%

Google

$65k Vol.
$61k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

13%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

92%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

6%

Eric Trump

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

48%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?

92%

MiniMax

$13k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

11%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$120 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$307 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

27%

1

$87 Vol.
$362 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

10%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$440 Liq.
2
Ends in 8 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months