Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

20%

Yes

$12.0m Vol.
$414k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

32%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$76k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$237k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

34%

25-29

$46k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$391k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

57%

0-5

$45k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$27k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

8%

Yes

$755k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$157k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

83%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$442k Vol.
$128k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

96%

September 21

$33k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

22%

10+

$34k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$71k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$898 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

31%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$9k Liq.
49
Ends in 8 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$505k Liq.
Ended
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

26%

US

$49k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%

Yes

$99k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$26k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months