Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%

Yes

$11.9m Vol.
$475k Liq.
🔥$104k today
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.2m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

33%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$72k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

14%

Yes

$387k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$29k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$86k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
S
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

76%

September 18

$32k Vol.
$988 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Yes

$754k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

1%

Yes

$155k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

47%

25-29

$36k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ended
W
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

85%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$441k Vol.
$163k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

64%

0-5

$40k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

26%

US

$49k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$521k Liq.
Ended
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

20%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$17k Liq.
49
Ends in 9 days
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

42%

10+

$33k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%

Yes

$99k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

3%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US charges Hormuz fees by...?

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.
$30k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months