Hiring Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$54k Vol.
$136k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

55%

Marília Campos

$53k Vol.
$160k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.3M to 7.4M

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$17k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$317 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$966k Vol.
$309k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%

Yes

$195 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

6%

Yes

$90k Vol.
$561 Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

26%

Google

$65k Vol.
$63k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

92%

$760

$74 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$707 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$454 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$110k Vol.
$181k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$571k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

6%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
E
EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

EPL · Soccer

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

50%

Manager A

$200 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 months