Hiring Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$55k Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

51%

Marília Campos

$54k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

33%

7.1M to 7.2M

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

32%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$178k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

6%

Yes

$90k Vol.
$527 Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$65k Vol.
$63k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%

Yes

$195 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

41%

50

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$36k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$415 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$778 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Codex resets week of September 21?

How many Codex resets week of September 21?

56%

3

$329 Vol.
$371 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$7k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$210 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on...?

30%

September 23

$90 Vol.
$389 Liq.
Ends in 8 days