Hezbollah Predictions & Odds· 256 markets

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

9%

Yes

$945k Vol.
$17k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$104k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

15%

October 31

$371k Vol.
$46k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

96%

September 22

$535k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$148k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

3%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

75%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

38%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$297 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

20%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$227 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

20%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

6%

September 30

$9k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target Oman by...?

Will Iran target Oman by...?

2%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

64%

October 31

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran target Syria by...?

Will Iran target Syria by...?

4%

Yes

$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days