Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

64%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$101k today
465
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.6m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$404k Vol.
$200k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$93k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$639k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

16%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$29k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$52k Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$598k Vol.
$452k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$259k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

7%

Yes

$297k Vol.
$10k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.3m Vol.
$633k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

77%

December 31, 2026

$122k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

61%

Darijana Filipović

$43k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m Vol.
$109k Liq.
409
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

1%

Dario Amodei

$50k Vol.
$27k Liq.
7
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

95%

Željka Cvijanović

$37k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months