Hawley Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.0m Vol.
$51.5m Liq.
🔥$462k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

John Fetterman

$183k Vol.
$73k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.2m Vol.
$866k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

88%

Andy Beshear

$88k Vol.
$367k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$877k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

53%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

63%

Democrats Sweep

$13.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$370k today
316
Ends in 3 months
I
Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

56%

Ashley Hinson (R)

$578k Vol.
$281k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

75%

200+

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

100%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

26%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Democratic Party

$5.3m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$203k today
150
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
HI-02 House Election Winner

HI-02 House Election Winner

95%

Jill Tokuda (D)

$69k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IA-02 House Election Winner

IA-02 House Election Winner

54%

Lindsay James (D)

$22k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month