Grok Predictions & Odds· 263 markets

N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

35%

1450+

$25k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

70%

1440+

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

88%

45%+

$123k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

82%

November 30

$976 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

2%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$67k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

54%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

61%

December 31

$47 Vol.
$87 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Efros Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri

Sports · Games

Efros Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri

50%

Efros Iuri

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Efros Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri

Sports · Games

Efros Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri

50%

Efros Iuri

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

September 21

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

September 12

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 25 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 4.6 released on...?

Grok 4.6 released on...?

August 12

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok 4.6 released by...?

Grok 4.6 released by...?

August 14

$263k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 31

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

July 31

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

February 17

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended