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Grok Predictions & Odds· 247 markets

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N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by...?

September 12

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 29 days
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 4.6 released on...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.6 released on...?

August 12

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok 4.6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.6 released by...?

August 14

$263k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
N
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$61k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Tech·AI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 31

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?

1440+

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 4.4 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4.4 released by...?

July 31

$198k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·Big Tech

Grok 4.20 released on...?

February 17

$663k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

Crypto·Grok

Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?

No

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
X
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Tech·xAI

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

25%+

$24k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·xAI

Grok 4.20 released on...?

No release by February 14

$220k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok 4.20 released on...?

Tech·Grok

Grok 4.20 released on...?

No release by January 31

$786k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok 4.20 released by...?

Tech·Grok

Grok 4.20 released by...?

April 20

$844k Vol.
$0 Liq.
192
W
Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

Crypto·Claude 5

Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

No

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
G
Grok unsuspended from X today?

Culture·Breaking News

Grok unsuspended from X today?

Yes

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Tech·Grok

Grok 5 released by...?

December 31, 2025

$176k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
W
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Tech·Grok

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
G
Grok 4 released by...?

Tech·AI

Grok 4 released by...?

September 30

$177k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

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