German Politics Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

41%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$461 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

54%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$43k Vol.
$195k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

63%

Lionel Messi

$951k Vol.
$49k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
M
Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

63%

Carlos Torres Piña

$58k Vol.
$553k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

97%

30-34

$82k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

95%

Grüne

$15k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

29-31

$105k Vol.
$25k Liq.
7
Ended
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

99%

Up

$3k Vol.
$260 Liq.
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

45%

AfD

$42k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

0%

Over

$135k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ended
B
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

98%

158–162

$30k Vol.
$44k Liq.
2
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$2.5m Vol.
$162k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

99%

26-29

$87k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

97%

32-35

$73k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

97%

Linke

$15k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1000k Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

50%

Candidate E

$343k Vol.
$231k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
G
Göttingen Mayoral Election Winner

96%

Onyeka Oshionwu

$19k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ended