Foreign Policy Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

5%

December 31

$77k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$310k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$311 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

4%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$709k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

51%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$425 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

6%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$128k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

65%

December 31

$30.8m Vol.
$382k Liq.
🔥$606k today
598
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$826k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

97%

200+

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

57%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$531k Liq.
🔥$248k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$704 Liq.
Ends in 3 months