Food And Drug Predictions & Odds· 164 markets

H
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

49%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

48%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$150k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

83%

June 30, 2027?

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

4%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$51k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
C
Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026

0.2%

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

Neutrality initiative

$124k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Other

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves Sanofi's Tzield?

Yes

$517 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves Tonix Pharmaceuticals’ TNX-102 SL for fibromyalgia?

Yes

$916 Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves Merck's Doravirine/Islatravir?

Yes

$832 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves Unicycive’s Oxylanthanum Carbonate (OLC)?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
F
FDA approvals in July

FDA approvals in July

TransCon hGH (sBLA)

$108k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves Vepdegestrant?

FDA approves Vepdegestrant?

Yes

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
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