Food And Drug Administration Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

H
Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

49%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

48%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$150k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

83%

June 30, 2027?

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

4%

Yes

$589k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$49k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Weed rescheduled by...?

Weed rescheduled by...?

17%

December 31

$816k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
C
Core CPI (ex food and energy) MoM - May 2026

0.2%

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

Neutrality initiative

$124k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who Trump pick for FDA Commissioner?

Marty Makary

$304k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Other

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves Sanofi's Tzield?

Yes

$517 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approvals in July

FDA approvals in July

TransCon hGH (sBLA)

$108k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves Tonix Pharmaceuticals’ TNX-102 SL for fibromyalgia?

Yes

$916 Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves FILSPARI REMS modification?

Yes

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended