Fivethrityeight Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?

69%

≤6

$36k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

31%

≤6

$800 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$826 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

76%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

52%

Five Fears

$0 Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 Vol.
$56 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

65%

LOS

$99 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

49%

14–16

$1.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
English Premier League Top 5 Finishers (2026-27)

EPL · Soccer

English Premier League Top 5 Finishers (2026-27)

97%

Arsenal

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring TEs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring TEs

51%

Theo Johnson

$0 Vol.
$82 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

4%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring FLEX

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring FLEX

51%

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

$0 Vol.
$96 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 14 - September 20?

92%

1

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

50%

October 1 - 31, 2026

$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$404 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

63%

October 1 - 31, 2026

$89k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month