Federal Predictions & Odds· 1749 markets

F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

63%

Bia Kicis

$55k Vol.
$90k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

93%

Celina Leão

$24k Vol.
$124k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

94%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$32k Vol.
$132k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

84%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k Vol.
$249k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

38%

Yes

$742 Vol.
$938 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 Vol.
$564 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

22%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$448 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

50%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

61%

December 31

$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

61%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

47%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$427k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

20%

5.0%

$3k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 5 days
M
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

28%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$13 Liq.
Ends in 3 months