Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

63%

Bia Kicis

$55k Vol.
$100k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

93%

Celina Leão

$24k Vol.
$125k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

94%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$32k Vol.
$148k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

84%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k Vol.
$250k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

39%

Yes

$742 Vol.
$285 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 Vol.
$483 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

22%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$582 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

46%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

61%

December 31

$29k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

62%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

47%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$417k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

20%

5.0%

$3k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

43%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$138k Vol.
$239k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.4m Vol.
$763k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 2 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$14.3m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$856k today
Ends in about 1 month